Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.