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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sunderland

Burnley
vs.
Sunderland

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We say: Burnley 1-0 Sunderland

Keeping clean sheets in each of their last four Championship games, Burnley will be supremely confident of repeating the trick on Friday night against Sunderland. The Black Cats performed admirably to beat fellow promotion rivals Sheffield United earlier this month, but we feel that the Wearside will fall short at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 28.79% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result
BurnleyDrawSunderland
44.88% (-0.932 -0.93) 26.33% (-0.215 -0.22) 28.79% (1.147 1.15)
Both teams to score 50.75% (1.36 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (1.407 1.41)53.54% (-1.408 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (1.176 1.18)75.05% (-1.176 -1.18)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.16600000000001 0.17)23.76% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.238 0.24)57.91% (-0.24 -0.24)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (1.642 1.64)33.42% (-1.643 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (1.757 1.76)70.05% (-1.757 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44.88%
    Sunderland 28.79%
    Draw 26.32%
BurnleyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.264 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.162 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.153 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.79%

Who will win Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland?

Burnley
Draw
Sunderland
Burnley
70.9%
Draw
14.5%
Sunderland
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
1-0
Burnley
Mundle (26')
Neill (40'), Foster (54'), Rusyn (90+4')
Neill (85')

Egan Riley (9'), Hume (51'), Rodriguez (83')
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sunderland
2-4
Burnley
Diallo (16'), Neill (20')
Tella (50'), Benson (61'), Zaroury (69'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-3
Sunderland
Rodriguez (11')
Grigg (35'), Flanagan (47'), Dobson (50')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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