Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.