National League North | Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Court Place Farm
Oxford City1 - 2Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Oxford City and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Alfreton Town |
44.52% ( 6.11) | 24.78% ( -0.55) | 30.71% ( -5.56) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.85% ( 1.04) | 46.15% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.55% ( 0.98) | 68.45% ( -0.98) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( 3.41) | 20.8% ( -3.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.54% ( 5.09) | 53.45% ( -5.09) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -2.89) | 28.28% ( 2.89) |