National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 0Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chorley |
38.31% ( 1.03) | 27.89% ( -0.07) | 33.8% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.02% ( 0.16) | 57.98% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.32% ( 0.12) | 78.68% ( -0.13) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.7) | 29.32% ( -0.7) |