National League North | Gameweek 12
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley3 - 2Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Alfreton Town |
41.66% ( 0.36) | 27.07% ( 0.04) | 31.27% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
