National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton2 - 0Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Alfreton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-2 Chorley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chorley |
44.67% ( -0.11) | 25.31% ( 0.36) | 30.02% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
