Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Blyth Spartans
48.96% ( -0)	24.62% ( 0.09)	26.42% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.33% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.45)

48.04% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0.42)

70.21% (

0.42)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.18)

19.66% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

-0.29)

51.64% (

0.29)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

-0.31)

32.37% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

-0.35)

68.89% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 48.96%

Blyth Spartans 26.42%

Draw 24.62%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Blyth Spartans
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.96%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.42%