National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Croft Park
Blyth Spartans3 - 3Southport
FT(HT: 3-1)
Bainbridge (22'), Holmes (50'), Watson (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Blyth Spartans and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-3 Southport
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
45.5% ( 1.1) | 24.78% ( -0.67) | 29.72% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( 1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.37% ( 2.68) | 46.63% ( -2.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.1% ( 2.46) | 68.9% ( -2.46) |
Blyth Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( 1.61) | 20.56% ( -1.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( 2.49) | 53.08% ( -2.49) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( 1.05) | 29.18% ( -1.06) |