Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Blyth Spartans	Draw	Alfreton Town
37.6% ( -4.27)	26.38% ( -0.63)	36.02% ( 4.89)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

3.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

3.43)

51.8% (

-3.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

2.9)

73.56% (

-2.91)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

-0.74)

26.77% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

-0.98)

62.05% (

0.98)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

4.9)

27.69% (

-4.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

5.88)

63.25% (

-5.89)

Score Analysis

Blyth Spartans 37.6%

Alfreton Town 36.02%

Draw 26.37%

Blyth Spartans	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -1.64) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -1.25) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.6%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.88) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.78) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.77) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.62) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.02%