Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.

Result
King's Lynn Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
55.42% ( 0.04)	24.52% ( 0.1)	20.06% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.51)

53.68% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.43)

75.17% (

0.44)

King's Lynn Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.18)

19.28% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

-0.3)

51.02% (

0.3)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

-0.43)

41.42% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

-0.38)

77.93% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

King's Lynn Town 55.41%

Alfreton Town 20.06%

Draw 24.51%

King's Lynn Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.06%