Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Peterborough Sports
34.97% ( 13.78)	26.55% ( 3.36)	38.48% ( -17.15)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-5.58)

52.58% (

5.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

-4.99)

74.24% (

4.99)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

7.72)

28.7% (

-7.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

8.68)

64.53% (

-8.69)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-9.91)

26.65% (

9.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

-15.24)

61.88% (

15.23)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 34.97%

Peterborough Sports 38.47%

Draw 26.54%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Peterborough Sports
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 3.39) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2.32) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 2.85) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 1.41) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 1.43) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.5) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.55) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.97%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 1.62) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 1.55) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -1.49) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -3.05) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -2.18) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -2.86) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.66) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -1.4) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -1.62) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.47%