MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:05:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Buxton

Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Southport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
39.26% (-0.943 -0.94) 27.52% (0.365 0.36) 33.22% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.96 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.282 -1.28)56.69% (1.281 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-1.04 -1.04)77.65% (1.04 1.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-1.132 -1.13)28.15% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.46 -1.46)63.83% (1.46 1.46)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)31.89% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.298 -0.3)68.33% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 39.25%
    Buxton 33.21%
    Draw 27.52%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.25%
1-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.432 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton21133530151542
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2312562820841
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster21124533161740
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe22108435152038
5Chorley2211563226638
6Hereford UnitedHereford22107531191237
7Alfreton TownAlfreton2110742720737
8Buxton2211293425935
9South Shields23112103935435
10Brackley Town2110472418634
11Darlington228952621533
12Chester FCChester219662622433
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor227963127430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath227872525029
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports227782629-328
16SouthportSouthport227692533-827
17Leamington FCLeamington217592723426
18Oxford CityOxford City226793438-425
19Warrington Town235992129-824
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2263132239-1721
21Marine AFC2246121228-1618
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2146112441-1718
23Needham Market2245131435-2117
24Rushall Olympic2233161946-2712
> National League North Full Table


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