National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley1 - 2Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 South Shields
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
53.13% ( 0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.01) | 22.38% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.96% ( 0.02) | 51.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 0.02) | 72.9% ( -0.02) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% ( 0.01) | 19.16% ( -0.01) |