National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton2 - 1Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Banbury
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Hereford United |
57.53% ( 1.44) | 22.47% ( -0.63) | 20.01% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
