World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 6.30am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Samoavs.New Zealand
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Samoa and New Zealand.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Samoa 0-3 Tahiti
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw has a probability of 9.6% and a win for Samoa has a probability of 4.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 0-3 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.44%) and 0-4 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Samoa win it is 2-1 (1.53%).
| Result | ||
| Samoa | Draw | New Zealand |
4.74% ( -2.33) | 9.62% ( -2.04) | 85.64% ( 4.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -6.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
