World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | First Qualifying Round
Sep 6, 2024 at 3am UK
J.S. Blatter Football Complex Tuanaimato Field 1
American Samoa2 - 0Samoa
Frankie Beauchamp (33'), Settle (45+4'), Tua (56'), Vitolio Salapu (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gerard Uanilao Tumua (59' pen.), Vaai (90+7')
Gerard Uanilao Tumua (34'), Junior Isaiah Malauulu (49'), Faamatau (85')
Leiataua (72')
Gerard Uanilao Tumua (34'), Junior Isaiah Malauulu (49'), Faamatau (85')
Leiataua (72')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania First Qualifying Round clash between American Samoa and Samoa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for American Samoa had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.94%) and 2-3 (5.31%). The likeliest American Samoa win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| American Samoa | Draw | Samoa |
31.46% ( 0.23) | 20.24% ( 0.14) | 48.3% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 74.25% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
