Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samoa win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vanuatu | Draw | Samoa |
24.7% ( -0.73) | 22.89% ( -0.51) | 52.41% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
