Although Guinea are necessarily lining up with their strongest side for this contest, it should still largely be one-way traffic. Vanuatu would take pride in a solid performance and avoiding a heavy defeat, and they may just avoid that here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Vanuatu
75.44% ( -0)	16.32%	8.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 41.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.44% (

-0)

44.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

-0)

66.93% (

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.89% (

-0)

10.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.71% (

-0)

33.29% (

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.68%

54.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.53% (

-0)

87.47% (

Score Analysis

Guinea 75.43%

Vanuatu 8.24%

Draw 16.32%

Guinea	Draw	Vanuatu
2-0 @ 14.42% 1-0 @ 12.58% 3-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.18% 6-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 75.43%	1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.46% Total : 16.32%	0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.24%