MX23RW : Wednesday, March 26 08:54:16| >> :60:220:220:
Guinea national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Vanuatu national football team

Guinea
6 - 0
Vanuatu

Sylla (7' pen., 62'), Diawara (8'), Camara (16'), Kane (37' pen., 57')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Guinea and Vanuatu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Guinea
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: P. New Guinea 0-1 Vanuatu
Saturday, October 14 at 4am in International Friendlies

We said: Guinea 3-0 Vanuatu

Although Guinea are necessarily lining up with their strongest side for this contest, it should still largely be one-way traffic. Vanuatu would take pride in a solid performance and avoiding a heavy defeat, and they may just avoid that here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
GuineaDrawVanuatu
75.44% (-0.00099999999999056 -0) 16.32%8.24% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Both teams to score 41.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.68%54.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)87.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 75.43%
    Vanuatu 8.24%
    Draw 16.32%
GuineaDrawVanuatu
2-0 @ 14.42%
1-0 @ 12.58%
3-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 6.72%
4-0 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.18%
6-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 7.68%
0-0 @ 5.49%
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 16.32%
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 2.34%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: Guinea vs Vanuatu

Guinea
Draw
Vanuatu
Guinea
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vanuatu
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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