Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 23, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Guinea
0 - 2
Senegal

Conte (22'), Conte (45+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Seck (61'), Ndiaye (90')
Jakobs (45+3'), Diatta (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Gambia
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	2	5	6
2	Guinea	2	1	4
3	Cameroon	2	-2	1
4	Gambia	2	-4	0

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Senegal 3-1 Cameroon
Friday, January 19 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	2	5	6
2	Guinea	2	1	4
3	Cameroon	2	-2	1
4	Gambia	2	-4	0

Expect a cagey affair, with both teams hesitant to take undue risks. While Senegal's superior attacking weapons and experience, even with a potential change in their forward line, should give them the advantage, Guinea's resolute determination to secure qualification could make this a tighter encounter than many predict. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.8%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 30.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Senegal
38.8% ( -0.46)	30.89% ( 0.35)	30.31% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 39.26% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.81% (

-0.95)

68.2% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.94% (

-0.63)

86.06% (

0.64)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

-0.8)

34.26% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

-0.87)

70.96% (

0.88)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.73% (

-0.45)

40.28% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

-0.41)

76.91% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Guinea 38.8%

Senegal 30.3%

Draw 30.89%

Guinea	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.8%	0-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.48) 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.89%	0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.37% Total : 30.3%