MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 15:11:04| >> :600:519155:519155:
Bulgaria national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Vasil Levski
Belarus national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Belarus

Panayotov (12')
Nurnberger (31'), Milanov (56'), Popov (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kavalyow (70')
Prishchepa (10'), Ebong (53'), Karpovich (62'), Yablonski (64'), Palitsevich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Bulgaria 0-0 Belarus

The two teams played out a goalless draw in the reverse match in September, and we can see the same scoreline here, which would be enough for Bulgaria to finish second, while it would mean first for Northern Ireland even if they lose to Luxembourg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawBelarus
33.51% (-0.62 -0.62) 31.33% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 35.16% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 38.76% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.95% (-0.275 -0.27)69.05% (0.27300000000001 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.38% (-0.177 -0.18)86.62% (0.175 0.17)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.602 -0.6)38.33% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.584 -0.58)75.08% (0.583 0.58)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (0.214 0.21)37.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (0.211 0.21)73.94% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 33.5%
    Belarus 35.15%
    Draw 31.33%
BulgariaDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 13.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 33.5%
0-0 @ 14.24% (0.15 0.15)
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.33%
0-1 @ 14.09% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Belarus

Bulgaria
67.0%
Draw
29.1%
Belarus
3.9%
103
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Belarus
0-0
Bulgaria
Yablonski (72'), Martynovich (89')
Krastev (29'), Petkov (56'), Minchev (89'), Dimov Iliev (90+1')
Krastev (74')
Feb 26, 2020 3pm
International Friendlies
Bulgaria
0-1
Belarus
Podstrelov (15')
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
2-1
Bulgaria
Sivakov (33' pen.), Savitskiy (80')
Nov 13, 2016 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
1-0
Belarus
Delev (10')
rhs 2.0
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