Nations League | League C
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
N. Ireland5 - 0Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 N. Ireland
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Bulgaria
In a tightly contested group, with few goals and few wins, it could be another share of the spoils on Tuesday evening, as Bulgaria are particularly hard to beat. Northern Ireland are certainly showing signs of improvement, but without a clinical finisher they may have to settle for a home draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northern Ireland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Bulgaria |
52.01% ( 0.43) | 28.17% ( -0.15) | 19.82% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 37.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
