Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.