Real Madrid2 - 1Chelsea
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Chelsea
Chelsea had no answer to the Man City press on Saturday, and if Maresca persists with the playing out from the back approach, more howlers from the Blues are not beyond the realm of possibility. Even though Real Madrid are still weakened by their international absentees, Ancelotti's attacking trident - potentially featuring three brilliant Brazilians - should come good to condemn their Premier League foes to another chastening loss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
55.44% ( -14.43) | 20.86% ( 4.45) | 23.69% ( 9.99) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( 2.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
