MX23RW : Monday, November 25 21:56:55| >> :600:618246:618246:
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
South Sudan national football team

South Africa
3 - 0
South Sudan

Rayners (7'), Maswanganyi (22'), Mokoena (50' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 0-2 South Africa
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: South Africa 2-0 South Sudan

Given South Africa's hot streak since the last AFCON, anything less than three points for them would be a shock, which is why we are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively routine victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 83.58%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 3.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.68%) and 1-0 (14.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.83%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawSouth Sudan
83.58% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 12.51% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04) 3.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 28.31% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (0.177 0.18)45.95% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.169 0.17)68.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (0.052999999999997 0.05)8.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (0.128 0.13)29.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.92% (0.098999999999997 0.1)69.07% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.37% (0.0381 0.04)94.63% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 83.56%
    South Sudan 3.91%
    Draw 12.51%
South AfricaDrawSouth Sudan
2-0 @ 17.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 14.68%
1-0 @ 14.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 9.07% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.49% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 83.56%
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 12.51%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 3.91%

How you voted: South Africa vs South Sudan

South Africa
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
South Sudan
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
South Sudan
2-3
South Africa
Okello (15' pen.), Yuel (58')
Gama (28')
Reagan Appollis (17', 45+2'), Mbatha (90+5')
Ngezana (13'), Sithole (70')
rhs 2.0
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