Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
South Africa3 - 0South Sudan
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uganda 0-2 South Africa
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: South Africa 2-0 South Sudan
Given South Africa's hot streak since the last AFCON, anything less than three points for them would be a shock, which is why we are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively routine victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 83.58%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 3.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.68%) and 1-0 (14.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.83%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | South Sudan |
83.58% ( 0.05) | 12.51% ( -0.04) | 3.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 28.31% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.18) | 45.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.17) | 68.26% ( -0.17) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.56% ( 0.05) | 8.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.13) | 29.31% ( -0.13) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.1) | 69.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 5.37% ( 0.04) | 94.63% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
South Africa 83.56%
South Sudan 3.91%
Draw 12.51%
| South Africa | Draw | South Sudan |
| 2-0 @ 17.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 14.68% 1-0 @ 14.41% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 83.56% | 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 12.51% | 0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.91% |
How you voted: South Africa vs South Sudan
South Africa
77.8%Draw
22.2%South Sudan
0.0%18
Head to Head
Form Guide
