We said: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
While Egypt can rest on their laurels, having already secured qualification, Botswana need a point at the 30 June Stadium to end their 12-year AFCON absence. The Pharaohs head into the game as firm favourites on paper but we predict that Ramoreboli's men will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and secure their place in Morocco next year.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 76.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 6.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.