COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Chamir Ferreira Junior (45+2'), Dario (66'), Joao Candido (90+4')
Eduardo Pedro (30'), Chamir Ferreira Junior (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kopelang (20')
Ramotse (40'), Kolagano (43'), Babutsi (47')
Ramotse (44')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Botswana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
Result |
Mozambique | Draw | Botswana |
51.53% ( 2.43) | 27.54% ( 0.04) | 20.93% ( -2.47) |
Both teams to score 40.65% ( -2.67) |