MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:10:31| >> :600:4981034:4981034:
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Ghana national football team

Mozambique
2 - 2
Ghana

Catamo (90+1' pen.), Mandava (90+4')
Catamo (31'), Mandava (66'), Mexer (69'), Nanani (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ayew (15' pen., 70' pen.)
Ashimeru (28'), Ayew (49'), Baba (58'), Djiku (62'), Ayew (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mozambique and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cape Verde 3-0 Mozambique
Friday, January 19 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Ghana
Thursday, January 18 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Mozambique 1-2 Ghana

Ghana would have got some much-needed confidence from their performance against Egypt last week and the return of Kudus has given them a genuine attacking threat at the top end of the pitch. Mozambique will certainly not back down here, but we are backing the Black Stars to get the victory they need in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawGhana
28.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.18% (0.023 0.02) 43.3% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)60.4% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)80.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.108 -0.11)37.32% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (-0.106 -0.11)74.1% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.68% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)63.23% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 28.52%
    Ghana 43.29%
    Draw 28.16%
MozambiqueDrawGhana
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 43.29%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Ghana

Mozambique
29.6%
Draw
7.4%
Ghana
63.0%
27
rhs 2.0
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