MX23RW : Monday, September 16 11:27:44| >> :600:601646:601646:
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Botswana national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohutsiwa (16'), Kopelang (21'), Mangolo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana

With goals at a premium for both Mauritania and Botswana of late, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair in this one. That said, we can see the home side coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes to continue their already established dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritania in this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
37.08% (0.126 0.13) 30.38% (0.044 0.04) 32.53% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.59% (-0.15 -0.15)66.4% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.14% (-0.104 -0.1)84.86% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.11%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.21 -0.21)37.55% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.206 -0.21)74.33% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 37.08%
    Botswana 32.53%
    Draw 30.38%
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.38%
0-1 @ 12.65%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Botswana

Mauritania
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Botswana
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
3pm
Bears
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!