MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 18:24:46| >> :600:778317:778317:
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Botswana national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohutsiwa (16'), Kopelang (21'), Mangolo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana

With goals at a premium for both Mauritania and Botswana of late, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair in this one. That said, we can see the home side coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes to continue their already established dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritania in this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
37.08% (0.126 0.13) 30.38% (0.044 0.04) 32.53% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.59% (-0.15 -0.15)66.4% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.14% (-0.104 -0.1)84.86% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.11%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.21 -0.21)37.55% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.206 -0.21)74.33% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 37.08%
    Botswana 32.53%
    Draw 30.38%
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.38%
0-1 @ 12.65%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Botswana

Mauritania
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Botswana
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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