We said: Slovakia 2-0 Estonia
Particularly with their home fans behind them, Slovakia will be a class above Estonia; but, with their playoff berth booked, they may step off the gas.
Avoiding a heavy defeat would be an acceptable outcome for the visitors, who are more suited to tackling Europe's minnows.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 5.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.01%) and 1-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.