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Slovakia national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Estonia national football team

Slovakia
1 - 0
Estonia

Strelec (72')
Sauer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliste (61'), Mets (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Slovakia 2-0 Estonia

Particularly with their home fans behind them, Slovakia will be a class above Estonia; but, with their playoff berth booked, they may step off the gas. Avoiding a heavy defeat would be an acceptable outcome for the visitors, who are more suited to tackling Europe's minnows. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 5.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.01%) and 1-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
SlovakiaDrawEstonia
82.16% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09) 12.62% (0.168 0.17) 5.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 37.31% (-1.244 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (-1.305 -1.31)39.59% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (-1.373 -1.37)61.93% (1.368 1.37)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (-0.298 -0.3)7.36% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.44% (-0.779 -0.78)26.56% (0.775 0.77)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.27% (-1.21 -1.21)59.72% (1.207 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.49% (-0.636 -0.64)90.51% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 82.15%
    Estonia 5.22%
    Draw 12.62%
SlovakiaDrawEstonia
2-0 @ 14.96% (0.45 0.45)
3-0 @ 13.01% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.51 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-0 @ 4.43% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.178 -0.18)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.93% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 82.15%
1-1 @ 5.91% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.261 0.26)
2-2 @ 1.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 12.62%
0-1 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 1.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 5.22%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Estonia

Slovakia
Draw
Estonia
Slovakia
83.7%
Draw
12.5%
Estonia
3.8%
104
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Estonia
0-1
Slovakia

Tamm (38'), Robert Shein (90')
Suslov (70')
Obert (28'), Bozenik (55'), Vavro (87'), Dubravka (90+5'), Calzona (90+6'), Hancko (90+5')
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