We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Chad
After a blistering start to the campaign, Ivory Coast have suffered consecutive defeats in their last two outings and will be looking to stop the rot in front of their home supporters.
Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two nations, we are backing the Elephants to come away with a comfortable victory at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.