Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Chad0 - 1Zambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 0-0 Chad
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Chad 0-1 Zambia
Chad survived the first-leg scare, but they may not be as fortunate in the return leg if they allow Zambia that many attempts on goal without creating enough themselves, and that is why we believe that the visitors will edge the game at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Zambia |
15.64% ( -0.53) | 25.14% ( -0.56) | 59.22% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.49% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.69% ( 1.04) | 61.3% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.78% ( 0.77) | 81.22% ( -0.77) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.11) | 51.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.38% ( -0.08) | 85.62% ( 0.08) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.87) | 20.79% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.55% ( 1.35) | 53.44% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Chad 15.64%
Zambia 59.21%
Draw 25.13%
| Chad | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.45% Total : 15.64% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 16.78% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 13.18% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 59.21% |
How you voted: Chad vs Zambia
Chad
17.6%Draw
11.8%Zambia
70.6%17
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 2pm
