MX23RW : Tuesday, November 12 17:52:27| >> :120:3778:3778:
Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Chad national football team

Zambia
0 - 0
Chad

FT

Ngouyamsa (19'), Tchaouna (77'), Damba (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Chad 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Zambia 2-1 Chad

Chad have struggled in front of goal recently, and while we expect them to return to the scoresheet here, we are backing Zambia to carry the day in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawChad
60.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.94% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)79.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)51.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.9% (0.046999999999997 0.05)51.1% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)85.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 60.89%
    Chad 14.94%
    Draw 24.15%
ZambiaDrawChad
1-0 @ 16.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.94%

How you voted: Zambia vs Chad

Zambia
66.7%
Draw
24.2%
Chad
9.1%
33
rhs 2.0
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