MX23RW : Monday, March 31 04:58:06| >> :600:9937489:9937489:
Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Bouake
Zambia national football team

Ivory Coast
2 - 0
Zambia

Krasso (73', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Prosper Mphand (33'), Chongo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Zambia
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Zambia

Zambia have been abysmal over the last couple of months, and we can hardly see anything changing in their clash against the reigning African champions. We are backing Ivory Coast to cruise to relatively routine win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawZambia
65.16% (0.253 0.25) 21.87% (-0.129 -0.13) 12.96% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 40.72% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.236 0.24)54.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.194 0.19)76.01% (-0.194 -0.19)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.166 0.17)16.15% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4% (0.304 0.3)45.6% (-0.304 -0.3)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.56% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)51.43% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.36% (-0.039 -0.04)85.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 65.15%
    Zambia 12.96%
    Draw 21.87%
Ivory CoastDrawZambia
1-0 @ 15.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 13.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 65.15%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.87%
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 12.96%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Zambia

Ivory Coast
Draw
Zambia
Ivory Coast
71.1%
Draw
24.4%
Zambia
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
3-0
Ivory Coast
Aurier (31' og.), Daka (48'), Kangwa (55')
Kabwe (60'), Sakala (89')
Jun 3, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
3-1
Zambia
Aurier (67'), Kouame (76'), Sangare (89')
Sangare (45'), Boly (81')
Daka (90+4')
Mwepu (75'), Sakala (81')
Jun 19, 2019 1.30pm
International Friendlies
Zambia
1-4
Ivory Coast
Sakala (13' pen.)
Kodjia (29'), Michael Seri (41'), Cornet (57'), Bony (84')
Kessie (51')
Jan 18, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
0-2
Zambia

Yao (69')
Mulenga (8', 74')
Silwimba (71')
rhs 2.0
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