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World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Paraguay national football team

Bolivia
2 - 2
Paraguay

Vaca Moreno (15'), Terceros (80' pen.)
Gomez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Almiron (71'), Enciso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Argentina
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Bolivia 0-2 Paraguay

 Paraguay have been on a sensational run in recent matches, while Bolivia have faced extreme difficulty in their last two games, leading us to believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawParaguay
40.92% (0.658 0.66) 29.46% (-0.128 -0.13) 29.61% (-0.528 -0.53)
Both teams to score 42.49% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.82% (0.259 0.26)64.18% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.68% (0.184 0.18)83.31% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.51899999999999 0.52)30.87% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.606 0.61)67.15% (-0.604 -0.6)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.27 -0.27)38.54% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.259 -0.26)75.29% (0.26100000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 40.92%
    Paraguay 29.61%
    Draw 29.46%
BoliviaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.46%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Paraguay

Bolivia
34.6%
Draw
13.6%
Paraguay
51.9%
81
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-0
Bolivia
Sanabria (69')
Bareiro (42'), Villalba (82')

Roca (42'), Villarroel (42'), Vaca (45+2'), Haquin (59'), Villamil (68')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
4-0
Paraguay
Ramallo (21'), Villarroel (53'), Abrego (84'), Fernandez (90+4')
Ramallo (45+2'), Carlos Arce (78')

Cardozo (43'), Gomez (82')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Paraguay
3-1
Bolivia
Arzamendia (8'), Espinola (45+11')
Bejarano (29'), Cuellar Mendoza (38'), Flores (40')
Cuellar Mendoza (45+9')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Bolivia
Romero (19' pen., 72')
Moreno (41'), Cespedes (45')
> Preview
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