MX23RW : Sunday, September 22 15:37:15| >> :60:2964:2964:
Chelsea logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Barrow

Chelsea
vs.
Barrow

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for their EFL Cup third round tie at home to Barrow at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-3 Chelsea
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Newport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Chelsea 4-0 Barrow

Even with expected wholesale changes, Chelsea should have no problem in booking their place in the fourth round in one of the biggest mismatches seen in the competition this season. Barrow are in excellent form, but this will be a wholly different challenge, with Chelsea's deep squad allowing them to call upon multiple full internationals as backup, and their quality should show. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.07%. A win for Barrow has a probability of 20.1% and a draw has a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.87%) and 3-1 (7.15%). The likeliest Barrow win is 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.65%).

Result
ChelseaDrawBarrow
60.07% (0.07 0.07) 19.84% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 20.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.96% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.02% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (0.018999999999991 0.02)10.79% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.18% (0.034000000000006 0.03)34.82% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)29.42% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.067 -0.07)65.42% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 60.07%
    Barrow 20.1%
    Draw 19.84%
ChelseaDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.43%
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 60.07%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 20.1%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Barrow?

Chelsea
Draw
Barrow
Chelsea
100%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool5401101912
2Manchester CityMan City4400113812
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Chelsea5311115610
5Arsenal431061510
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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