Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.