MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:14:28| >> :600:1299447:1299447:
Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
Cheltenham Town

Newport
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Evans (33')
Jameson (21')
Carney (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sohna (67'), Colwill (75')
Taylor (29'), Kinsella (76')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham Town
35.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 24.38% (-0.346 -0.35) 39.8% (0.43 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.92% (1.248 1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (1.624 1.62)42.81% (-1.625 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (1.592 1.59)65.21% (-1.595 -1.6)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.70099999999999 0.7)23.6% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (1.003 1)57.68% (-1.005 -1.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.922 0.92)21.56% (-0.923 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (1.394 1.39)54.64% (-1.396 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 35.82%
    Cheltenham Town 39.8%
    Draw 24.37%
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.155 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.347 -0.35)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.165 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.099 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.095 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 39.8%

How you voted: Newport vs Cheltenham

Newport County
63.2%
Draw
15.8%
Cheltenham Town
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
3-2
Newport
Colwill (22', 90+6'), Dulson (27')
Haynes (33')
Baker-Richardson (31' pen.), Greaves (43')
Brennan (14'), Wildig (61'), Baker-Richardson (81')
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
0-2
Newport
Wood (26'), Evans (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Newport
1-0
Cheltenham
Labadie (4')
Bennett (55')

May (56'), Tozer (88'), Long (90+5')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Cheltenham
1-1
Newport
Blair (45+5')
Raglan (56'), Tozer (64')
King (12')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Newport
0-1
Cheltenham

Willmott (56')
Reid (70')
Chamberlain (90')
rhs 2.0
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