Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.