Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.