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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Swindon Town

Barrow
1 - 1
Swindon

Garner (35')
Newby (55')
Farman (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Butterworth (90+8')
Wright (42'), Kilkenny (61')
Smith (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-3 Bolton
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barrow 2-1 Swindon Town

With Swindon unbeaten away from home in the league, this may not be as plain sailing for Barrow as many people anticipate. However, we are still backing the home side to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
41.7% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 32.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.3% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 41.7%
    Swindon Town 32.04%
    Draw 26.25%
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Barrow vs Swindon

Barrow
70.6%
Draw
8.8%
Swindon Town
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barrow
0-2
Swindon

Wild (44'), Gotts (51'), Ray (53'), Newby (82')
Kokolo (35'), Glatzel (45')
Drinan (43'), Kokolo (60')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swindon
0-3
Barrow

Kinsella (65')
Spence (34'), Foley (58'), Chester (73')
Garner (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barrow
0-1
Swindon
Reed (7' pen.)
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swindon
2-1
Barrow
Davison (22'), Reed (85')
Odimayo (61')
Platt (83')
Gotts (24'), Brough (73'), Gordon (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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