MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 16:37:38| >> :600:771889:771889:
Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Burundi national football team

Senegal
2 - 0
Burundi

Diarra (35', 51')
Diarra (41'), Hadji Malick Diouf (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Senegal 2-0 Burundi

Even if Senegal decides not to field their strongest XI on Tuesday, we believe that they have enough depth of quality to cruise to victory against a side lacking in quality such as Burundi, which is why we are predicting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
SenegalDrawBurundi
68.78% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24) 18.83% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 12.39% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33% (0.331 0.33)43.67% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94% (0.324 0.32)66.06% (-0.325 -0.33)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.028999999999996 0.03)11.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06)36.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.47% (0.547 0.55)45.53% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.427 0.43)81.35% (-0.429 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 68.77%
    Burundi 12.39%
    Draw 18.83%
SenegalDrawBurundi
2-0 @ 12.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.8% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 68.77%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.39%

How you voted: Senegal vs Burundi

Senegal
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Burundi
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Burundi
0-1
Senegal

Elie Eldhino (37'), Michel Musore (47'), Claude Girumugisha (69'), Nsabiyumva (69'), Ntibazonkiza (84')
Sarr (71' pen.)
Mendy (42'), Diallo (69'), Mane (87'), Hadji Malick Diouf (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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