MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:53:08| >> :60:239:239:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 19, 2024 at 1am UK
CityPark
Jamaica national football team

USA
4 - 2
Jamaica

Pulisic (14'), Bernard (33' og.), Pepi (42'), Weah (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gray (53', 68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-1 USA
Friday, November 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 1-0 Jamaica (USA win 2-0 on aggregate)

The Jamaicans have shown they can play the Americans tough, but we do not believe they have enough depth to compete with the US for 90 minutes and turn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawJamaica
58.94% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 23.58% (-0.02 -0.02) 17.48% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (0.155 0.16)53.48% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (0.131 0.13)75% (-0.125 -0.13)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.048999999999992 0.05)17.89% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (0.16 0.16)44.29% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (0.129 0.13)80.36% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    USA 58.93%
    Jamaica 17.48%
    Draw 23.58%
USADrawJamaica
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 17.48%

How you voted: USA vs Jamaica

USA
75.0%
Draw
13.9%
Jamaica
11.1%
36
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2024 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Jamaica
0-1
USA

Lowe (61'), Bailey (69'), Holgate (76'), Hayden (90+3')
Holgate (86')
Pepi (5')
McKennie (50'), Robinson (69')
Mar 21, 2024 11pm
Semi-Finals
USA
3-1
Jamaica
Burke (90+6' og.), Wright (96', 109')
Scally (12')
Leigh (1')
Lembikisa (51'), Palmer (54'), Lowe (69')
Jun 25, 2023 3am
Group Stage
USA
1-1
Jamaica
Vazquez (88')
Lowe (13')
Lowe (3'), Lawrence (83'), Blake (85')
Nov 16, 2021 10pm
Third Round
Jamaica
1-1
USA
Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
Weah (11')
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Jamaica
Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')
rhs 2.0
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