MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:39:02| >> :60:139:139:
USA national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2am UK
Arrowhead Stadium
Uruguay national football team

USA
0 - 1
Uruguay


Adams (17'), Richards (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olivera (66')
Nunez (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between USA and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay276
2USA213
3Panama2-13
4Bolivia2-70

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 5-0 Bolivia
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America

We said: USA 1-3 Uruguay

 It seems as though the pressure of being the hosts is getting the better of the Americans, who look vulnerable defensively and incredibly inconsistent. There is little pressure on Uruguay heading into this fixture, but knowing Bielsa, we expect them to play aggressively and put away the opportunities presented to them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
USADrawUruguay
40.65% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.59% (-0.16 -0.16) 32.76% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.565 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (0.695 0.7)53.13% (-0.69600000000001 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.585 0.59)74.71% (-0.587 -0.59)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (0.288 0.29)25.72% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (0.391 0.39)60.64% (-0.393 -0.39)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.492 0.49)30.39% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.584 0.58)66.59% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    USA 40.65%
    Uruguay 32.76%
    Draw 26.59%
USADrawUruguay
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.76%

How you voted: USA vs Uruguay

USA
19.5%
Draw
17.2%
Uruguay
63.3%
256
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 10pm
International Friendly
USA
0-0
Uruguay
Valverde (82')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
USA
1-1
Uruguay
Morris (79')
Rodriguez (50')
rhs 2.0
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