Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 2am UK
Hard Rock Stadium
Uruguay3 - 1Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies
We said: Uruguay 3-0 Panama
Uruguay have plenty of in-form attackers and experienced players who know how to handle the pressures of this competition and that should come in handy against a good Panamanian side that have yet to prove they can compete consistently with CONMEBOL teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result | ||
Uruguay | Draw | Panama |
37.45% ( -0.4) | 28.16% ( 0.2) | 34.39% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.23% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.09% ( -0.72) | 58.92% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% ( -0.56) | 79.41% ( 0.57) |
Uruguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.6) | 30.3% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0.72) | 66.48% ( 0.72) |
Panama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.23) | 32.24% ( 0.24) |