Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Panama2 - 1USA
Form, Standings, Stats
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Uruguay | 1 | 2 | 3 |
2 | USA | 1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Panama | 1 | -2 | 0 |
4 | Bolivia | 1 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Panama 0-1 USA
Panama have proven they can compete with the top nations in CONCACAF, but we believe Los Canaleros will have difficulty contending with the Americans' youthful exuberance and intensity for 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Panama win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panama | Draw | USA |
22.64% ( 0.02) | 24.56% ( 0.04) | 52.8% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( -0.14) | 51.06% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.13) | 72.91% ( 0.13) |
Panama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.7% ( -0.06) | 37.3% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -0.06) | 74.08% ( 0.06) |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( -0.08) | 19.3% ( 0.08) |