MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 16:31:49| >> :60:1736:1736:
Tajikistan national football team
Friendlies 3
Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Afghanistan national football team

Tajikistan
3 - 1
Afghanistan

Juraboev (11'), Samiev (27'), Soirov (70')
Samiev (78')
Yatimov (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Asekzai (37')
Zamani (40'), Musawi (41'), Asekzai (62'), Nazary (76')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Tajikistan and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 4-0 Nepal
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nepal 2-0 Afghanistan
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 12.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawAfghanistan
66.95% (-0.244 -0.24) 20.32% (0.152 0.15) 12.73% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 44.4% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-0.417 -0.42)49.26% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.377 -0.38)71.31% (0.377 0.38)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (-0.203 -0.2)13.8% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (-0.405 -0.41)41.13% (0.405 0.41)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.52% (-0.11 -0.11)48.48% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.42% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)83.58% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 66.95%
    Afghanistan 12.73%
    Draw 20.32%
TajikistanDrawAfghanistan
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 20.32%
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 12.73%

Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Tajikistan
1-1
Afghanistan
Shahrom (88')
Haydary (72')
Shayesteh (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
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19Crystal Palace121561017-78
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