World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Tajikistan1 - 1Saudi Arabia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Tajikistan 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia would have taken confidence from Thursday's victory, and we think that they will do enough to edge out Tajikistan for a second game in a row to maintain their 100% record in qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
20.37% ( -0.06) | 26.52% ( 0.03) | 53.11% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.43% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
