MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:20:05| >> :600:453991:453991:
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Al Fateh Club Stadium
Pakistan national football team

Saudi Arabia
4 - 0
Pakistan

Al-Shehri (6', 48' pen.), Ghareeb (90+1'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dost (8'), Moosa (47'), Moosa (47'), Umar Hayat (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Pakistan 1-0 Cambodia
Tuesday, October 17 at 10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 3-0 Pakistan

Although Saudi Arabia are winless in six matches, they are ranked 136 places higher than Pakistan, and as a result, we think that their extra quality will help them claim a comfortable victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawPakistan
69.58% (-0.687 -0.69) 19.73% (0.396 0.4) 10.68% (0.287 0.29)
Both teams to score 40.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.831 -0.83)51.65% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.726 -0.73)73.43% (0.721 0.72)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)13.75% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (-0.923 -0.92)41.03% (0.918 0.92)
Pakistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)53.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.97% (0.025 0.03)87.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 69.57%
    Pakistan 10.68%
    Draw 19.73%
Saudi ArabiaDrawPakistan
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 14.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 69.57%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.73%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.156 0.16)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Pakistan

Saudi Arabia
28.6%
Draw
4.8%
Pakistan
66.7%
21
rhs 2.0
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