While Kenya have not been in action since March, they will fancy their chances against a Pakistan side who have lost their last seven matches. We predict that Kenya will claim a narrow victory and leave Anwar's side empty handed once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Pakistan
51.67% ( 0.09)	28.35% ( -0.04)	19.98% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 37.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.87% (

0.06)

66.12% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.33% (

0.04)

84.67% (

-0.04)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.07)

26.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

0.1)

61.26% (

-0.1)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.16% (

-0.02)

48.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.16% (

-0.01)

83.84% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Kenya 51.66%

Pakistan 19.98%

Draw 28.34%

Kenya	Draw	Pakistan
1-0 @ 17.13% 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 51.66%	0-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.98%